加密市场情绪研究报告（2024.06.21-06.28）：SOL 上涨 7%，VanEck 提交 Solana 信托基金申请

SOL rises 7%, VanEck submits Solana Trust fund application

June 28, 2024 Solana cryptocurrency price surged nearly 10% after multiple sources provided verified information about VanEck (VanEck Solana Trust) application for Solana-based spot ETF. VanEck is an asset management company with more than $89 billion in assets under management. This is the first such application filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Solana immediately rose after the news about the spot ETF application, but soon encountered some resistance and profit-taking. Bitcoin reacted to the news by jumping nearly $1,400 from $60,800 to $62,200, but the price is currently below $62,000 again.

There are about 31 days until the next Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (2024.08.01)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

市场技术和情绪环境分析

情绪分析组件

技术指标

价格趋势

BTC price fell -4.88% and ETH price fell -1.78% in the past week.

上图是近一周BTC价格走势图。

上图是近一周ETH的价格走势图。

表格显示的是过去一周的价格变化率。

价量分布图（支撑位与阻力位）

In the past week, BTC and ETH fell to 6.24 and formed a dense trading area at a low level before fluctuating widely.

上图为近一周BTC密集交易区分布。

上图为近一周ETH密集交易区分布。

表格展示了过去一周BTC与ETH的周密集交易区间。

交易量和未平仓合约

BTC and ETH had the largest trading volume this past week when they fell on June 24; open interest for both BTC and ETH rose slightly.

上图上方为BTC价格走势，中间为成交量，下方为持仓量，浅蓝色为1日均线，橙色为7日均线。K线颜色代表当前状态，绿色表示成交量支撑价格上涨，红色表示平仓，黄色表示缓慢加仓，黑色表示拥挤状态。

上图上方为ETH的价格走势，中间为交易量，下方为持仓量，浅蓝色为1日均线，橙色为7日均线。K线的颜色代表当前状态，绿色表示价格上涨受到交易量支撑，红色为平仓，黄色为缓慢增仓，黑色为拥挤。

历史波动率与隐含波动率

In the past week, historical volatility of BTC and ETH was highest at 6.24; implied volatility of BTC rose slightly while ETH fell slightly.

The yellow line is the historical volatility, the blue line is the implied volatility, and the red dot is its 7-day average.

事件驱动

No data was released in the past week.

情绪指标

动量情绪

过去一周，比特币/黄金/纳斯达克/恒生指数/上证300中，纳斯达克表现最强，比特币表现最差。

上图为近一周不同资产的走势。

贷款利率_贷款情绪

Over the past week, the average annualized return on USD lending was 13.3%, and short-term interest rates remained around 12.4%.

黄线为美元利率最高价，蓝线为最高价75%，红线为最高价75%的7日均线。

表格显示了过去不同持有日的美元利率平均收益

资金费率_合约杠杆情绪

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 8.8%, and contract leverage sentiment remained at a low level.

蓝线为币安 BTC 资金费率，红线为其 7 天平均值

表格展示了过去不同持有日的BTC手续费平均回报率。

市场相关性_共识情绪

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week dropped to around 0.45, and the consistency between different varieties dropped significantly.

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

市场广度_总体情绪

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 5.5% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average, 25% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 4% of the coins were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 6.3% of the coins were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market continued to fall.

上图为[bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 luunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, idu, imx、inj、iost、iotx、jasmy、jto、jup、kava、klay、ksm、ldo、link、loom、lpt、lqty、lrc、ltc、luna 2、magic、mana、manta、mask、matic、meme、mina、mkr、近、neo、nfp、海洋、一、ont、op、ordi、pendle、pyth、qnt、qtum、 rndr、罗宾、玫瑰、符文、rvn、沙、sei、sfp、skl、snx、ssv、stg、storj、stx、sui、寿司、sxp、theta、tia、trx、t、uma、uni、兽医、波浪、wif、wld、woo、xai、xem、xlm、xmr、xrp、xtz、 yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 各宽度指标30天占比

总结

Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) prices have experienced wide range fluctuations after the decline, while the volatility and trading volume of these two cryptocurrencies reached the highest level during the decline on June 24. The open interest of Bitcoin and Ethereum has increased slightly. In addition, the implied volatility of Bitcoin has increased slightly, while the implied volatility of Ethereum has decreased slightly. The funding rate of Bitcoin has remained at a low level, which may reflect the continued low leverage sentiment of market participants towards Bitcoin. The market breadth indicator shows that most cryptocurrencies continue to fall, indicating that the overall market has maintained a weak trend over the past week.

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This article is sourced from the internet: Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.06.21-06.28): SOL rose 7%, VanEck submitted Solana Trust Fund application

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