Mt.Gox資金轉移線索追蹤及市場解讀

The following analysis of Mt.Gox fund transfers is provided exclusively by iChainfo, a Web3 data infrastructure service provider:

On July 22, the Mt.Gox wallet address changed again. The Mt.Gox address 1JJ8oBaqcuLUcCkLwaVqdvJJpERYKwukJz transferred 0.000017 BTC to four wallets belonging to Bitstamp.

Figure 1: Analysis of Mt.Gox fund transfers on July 22

Although the transaction amount is low, it is very likely that Mt.Gox is testing the address before transferring a large amount of money. Mt.Gox has previously performed such operations before transferring money to the Kraken exchange.

Since last week, the highly anticipated compensation work of the Mt.Gox exchange has begun. Mt.Gox has transferred Bitcoin to Kraken, BitBank and SBI VC Trade. Among all five exchanges that can handle compensation, only Bitstamp and Bitgo have not received Bitcoin. Todays operation may mean that Mt.Gox will transfer funds to the last two exchanges.

查資訊網 tracked and analyzed the outflow of funds from the Mt.Gox exchange. Through the analysis of the fund flow, it was found that the funds in the Mt.Gox wallet mainly flowed into six addresses. Among them, the subsequent fund changes in four addresses require investors special attention.

The core address we analyzed is 1JbezDVd9VsK9o1Ga9UqLydeuEvhKLAPs6, which is the early collection address of Mt.Gox exchange funds. On May 28 of this year, 141,619 bitcoins were collected in this address through 8 transactions.

Figure 2: Mt.Gox fund analysis chart, source: 查資訊網

All bitcoins in this address have been transferred out. For example, the address received by Kraken Exchange on July 16 came from this address. The funds in this address have two main destinations. One is transferred to exchanges that support Mt.Gox compensation, including Kraken, BitBank and SBI VC Trade. The other is other addresses controlled by Mt.Gox.

Figure 3: There is no bitcoin in the address 1JbezDVd9VsK9o1Ga9UqLydeuEvhKLAPs6 , source: 查資訊網

Among these destinations, 查資訊網 found that Mt.Gox鈥檚 funds mainly flowed into the following six addresses:

3JQieEzccKjFS34oW8KZSGBDndiH1YyFrE is suspected to be the Kraken exchange address. 48,641 BTC were transferred to this address on July 16. Currently, the funds have not been moved. We need to pay close attention to it in the future. The transfer of funds from this address may mean that Kraken has begun to compensate users for Bitcoin.

bc1qrv0v2l9ekrx3lnkeusrzvu2hqyha6ex94nxumlhec4mrye8njm7sn7e4v4 is the BitBank hot wallet address, with a total of 1,544 BTC transferred in.

34X3kp5PTrqR9dA9Zf9XwivpE6tnNJdHKB is the SBI VC Trade hot wallet address, with a total of 1,157 BTC transferred in.

18vjnBHWAxU4CPGPqF7Gp9JyqdVBHDct9b is the Mt.Gox cold wallet address, which currently holds 42,587 BTC. The transfer of funds from this address needs to be closely monitored.

1AsHPP7WcGnDLzxW2bUa2FcbJP3eZVEqpx is the Mt.Gox cold wallet address, which currently holds 47,228 BTC. The transfer of funds from this address needs to be closely monitored.

1HRAprcXCzx1YqYv7dcCcDzf3vYVGPv3b2 is the Mt.Gox cold wallet address, which currently holds 526 BTC. Although the amount of coins held is not large, the transfer of funds from this address also needs attention.

Figure 4: Mt.Gox main funds destination address, source: 查資訊網

We divide the market selling pressure caused by Mt.Goxs Bitcoin compensation into three stages: the initiator, the outbreak, and the harvest. From the recent trend of Bitcoin, after the German governments selling pressure ended on July 12, the price of Bitcoin is gradually coming out of the previous low. However, when investors began to regain their optimism, the selling pressure of Mt.Gox had just begun.

As of press time, the Mt.Gox address has started the transfer test of small amounts of Bitcoin again. Currently, the compensation is in the early preparation stage, and most customers have not received the Bitcoin paid by the exchange. After nearly ten years of passive lock-up, the income of these customers has exceeded 20 times. Obviously, after these years of difficult appeal and compensation process, most customers will choose to sell and cash in the profits as soon as they get the coins. If nearly 100,000 Bitcoins are sold in August, it will once again have a huge impact on the market. It is believed that the shorts will use the Mt.Gox incident to attack the market. 查資訊網 will closely monitor the on-chain transfer trends of these addresses. Please pay attention to the follow-up tracking and analysis.

奧古斯特

This article is sourced from the internet: Mt.Gox fund transfer clues tracking and market interpretation

相關：MT Capital 研究報告：Privasea，將全同態加密引入大規模採用

原作者：新偉，明道資本 明道資本始終致力於投資具有顛覆性技術潛力的創新企業。我們認為，全同態加密（FHE）與人工智慧結合的去中心化實體基礎設施網路（DePIN）是未來的重要賽道。 FHE技術可在對資料進行加密的同時進行計算，從而確保整個資料處理過程的隱私和安全。 AI與DePIN的結合不僅可以有效地利用外部運算資源，還可以執行複雜的資料分析和機器學習任務，而無需擔心資料外洩。 Privasea在該領域的領先地位和技術優勢與MT Capitals的投資策略高度契合。我們相信，透過支持Privasea，我們將推動FHE AI DePIN賽道的發展，為安全做出貢獻…