Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.06.21-06.28): SOL rose 7%, VanEck submitted Solana Trust Fund application

SOL rises 7%, VanEck submits Solana Trust fund application

June 28, 2024 Solana cryptocurrency pr冰 surged nearly 10% after multiple sources provided verified information about VanEck (VanEck Solana Trust) application for Solana-based spot ETF. VanEck is an asset management 公司 with more than $89 billion in assets under management. This is the first such application filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Solana immediately rose after the news about the spot ETF application, but soon encountered some resistance and profit-taking. Bitcoin reacted to the news by jumping nearly $1,400 from $60,800 to $62,200, but the price is currently below $62,000 ag人工智慧名詞

There are about 31 days until the next Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (2024.08.01)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

市場技術與情緒環境分析

情緒分析組件

技術指標

價格走勢

BTC price fell -4.88% and ETH price fell -1.78% in the past week.

上圖是近一周BTC的價格走勢圖。

上圖是近一周ETH的價格走勢圖。

表格顯示了過去一週的價格變化率。

價量分佈圖（支撐位和阻力位）

In the past week, BTC and ETH fell to 6.24 and formed a dense trading area at a low level before fluctuating widely.

上圖為近一週BTC密集交易區域分佈。

上圖為近一週ETH密集交易區域分佈。

表格顯示了過去一週BTC和ETH的周密集交易區間。

成交量和持倉量

BTC and ETH had the largest trading volume this past week when they fell on June 24; open interest for both BTC and ETH rose slightly.

上圖上方為BTC的價格走勢，中間為交易量，下方為持股量，淺藍色為1日均線，橘色為7日均線。 K線的顏色代表當前狀態，綠色表示價格上漲受到成交量的支撐，紅色表示平倉，黃色表示慢慢累積倉位，黑色表示擁擠狀態。

上圖上方為ETH的價格走勢，中間為交易量，下方為持倉量，淺藍色為1日均線，橘色為7日均線。 K線的顏色代表當前狀態，綠色表示價格上漲受到成交量的支撐，紅色表示平倉，黃色表示慢慢累積倉位，黑色表示擁擠。

歷史波動率與隱含波動率

In the past week, historical volatility of BTC and ETH was highest at 6.24; implied volatility of BTC rose slightly while ETH fell slightly.

The yellow line is the historical volatility, the blue line is the implied volatility, and the red dot is its 7-day average.

事件驅動

No data was released in the past week.

情緒指標

動量情緒

In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/SSE 300, Nasdaq was the strongest, while Bitcoin performed the worst.

上圖為近一周不同資產的走勢。

貸款利率_貸款情緒

Over the past week, the average annualized return on USD lending was 13.3%, and short-term interest rates remained around 12.4%.

黃線為美元利率最高價，藍線為最高價75%，紅線為最高價75% 7日均線。

表格顯示過去不同持有天數美元利率的平均報酬

資金費率_合約槓桿情緒

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 8.8%, and contract leverage sentiment remained at a low level.

藍線是BTC在幣安上的資金費率，紅線是其7日平均值

表格顯示了過去不同持有天數的BTC費用平均報酬。

市場相關性_共識情緒

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week dropped to around 0.45, and the consistency between different varieties dropped significantly.

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

市場廣度_整體情緒

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 5.5% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average, 25% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 4% of the coins were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 6.3% of the coins were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market continued to fall.

The above picture shows [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

總結

Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) prices have experienced wide range fluctuations after the decline, while the volatility and trading volume of these two cryptocurrencies reached the highest level during the decline on June 24. The open interest of Bitcoin and Ethereum has increased slightly. In addition, the implied volatility of Bitcoin has increased slightly, while the implied volatility of Ethereum has decreased slightly. The funding rate of Bitcoin has remained at a low level, which may reflect the continued low leverage sentiment of market participants towards Bitcoin. The market breadth indicator shows that most cryptocurrencies continue to fall, indicating that the overall market has maintained a weak trend over the past week.

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This article is sourced from the internet: Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.06.21-06.28): SOL rose 7%, VanEck submitted Solana Trust Fund application

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