Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.05.31-06.07): BNB breaks all-time high with market value exceeding 100 bil
Binance Coin BNB is the first to break the historical high market value of over 100 billion US dollars
Binance Coin (BNB) has surpassed $100 billion in market capitalization, marking an important achievement and recognition for the cryptocurrency in the market. This makes BNB one of the few cryptocurrencies with a market capitalization of over $100 billion, highlighting the importance of Binance Exchange and BNB in the cryptocurrency industry.
Compared to giants in the traditional financial industry, such as JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs, whose market capitalizations are $500 billion and $150 billion respectively, Binance鈥檚 market capitalization has not yet reached the level of these traditional financial institutions, but it is approaching and growing rapidly. This shows the potential of the cryptocurrency market and Binance鈥檚 leading position in it.
In addition, Binance鈥檚 market capitalization has also surpassed that of the Commodity Exchange (CME), a major commodity futures exchange that plays an important role in global commodity trading. Binance鈥檚 surpassing is indicative of the growing influence that the cryptocurrency industry is g人工智慧ning.
In general, Binances market capitalization exceeding $100 billion represents the cryptocurrency markets high recognition of the project and the increase in investor confidence. This achievement marks Binances important position in the cryptocurrency industry and lays a solid foundation for its future 發展.
Currently, BNB has taken the lead in breaking through its historical high, and mainstream currencies are still fluctuating near the new high, and are expected to break through the new high to drive a new round of rise.
There are about 7 days until the next Fed meeting (2024.06.13)
https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168
市場技術與情緒環境分析
情緒分析組件
技術指標
價格走勢
Over the past week, BTC prices have risen 3.58% and ETH prices have risen 1.75%.
上圖是近一周BTC的價格走勢圖。
上圖是近一周ETH的價格走勢圖。
表格顯示了過去一週的價格變化率。
價量分佈圖(支撐位和阻力位)
In the past week, BTC broke through the concentrated trading area upward, while the price of ETH as a whole fluctuated widely within the concentrated trading area.
上圖為近一週BTC密集交易區域分佈。
上圖為近一週ETH密集交易區域分佈。
表格顯示了過去一週BTC和ETH的周密集交易區間。
POC_SARPoint Of ControlSupportResistancebtc67733.2367200.9570106.38 eth 3780.773742.853867.12
成交量和持倉量
In the past week, BTCs trading volume began to increase after the rise on June 3, while ETHs trading volume was generally sluggish; the open interest of both BTC and ETH increased.
上圖上方為BTC的價格走勢,中間為交易量,下方為持股量,淺藍色為1日均線,橘色為7日均線。 K線的顏色代表當前狀態,綠色表示價格上漲受到成交量的支撐,紅色表示平倉,黃色表示慢慢累積倉位,黑色表示擁擠狀態。
The top of the above picture shows the price trend of ETH, the middle is the trading volume, the bottom is the open interest, the light blue is the 1-day average, and the orange is the 7-day average. The color of the K-line represents the current state, green means the price rise is supported by trading volume, red is closing positions, yellow is slowly accumulating positions, and black is crowded.
歷史波動率與隱含波動率
Historical volatility of BTC and ETH remained at a low level over the past week; implied volatility of BTC and ETH declined.
黃線是歷史波動率,藍線是隱含波動率,紅點是其7日平均值。
事件驅動
In terms of events, on June 7, 2024 at 20:30, the U.S. non-farm data was significantly better than expected, and the prices of mainstream currencies fell sharply and then rebounded.
情緒指標
動量情緒
In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/CSI 300, Bitcoin was the strongest, while CSI 300 performed the worst.
上圖為近一周不同資產的走勢。
貸款利率_貸款情緒
The average annualized return on USD lending over the past week was 10.8%, and short-term interest rates fell to around 9.2%.
黃線為美元利率最高價,藍線為最高價75%,紅線為最高價75% 7日均線。
表格顯示過去不同持有天數美元利率的平均報酬
資金費率_合約槓桿情緒
The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 12.2%, and contract leverage sentiment remained at a normal level.
藍線是BTC在幣安上的資金費率,紅線是其7日平均值
表格顯示了過去不同持有天數的BTC費用平均報酬。
市場相關性_共識情緒
The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week rose to around 0.75, and the consistency between different varieties increased significantly.
上圖中,藍線是比特幣的價格,綠線是[1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape、apt、 arb、ar、astr、atom、音訊、avax、axs、bal、樂團、bat、bch、bigtime、模糊、bnb、btc、celo、cfx、chz、ckb、comp、crv、cvx、網路、 dash、doge、 dot、dydx、egld、enj、ens、eos 等、eth、fet、fil、flow、ftm、fxs、gala、gmt、gmx、grt、hbar、hot、icp、icx、imx、inj、 iost、iotx、jasmy 、kava、klay、ksm、ldo、link、loom、lpt、lqty、lrc、ltc、luna 2、magic、mana、matic、meme、mina、mkr、near、neo、ocean、一、ont 、 op、 pendle、 qnt、 qtum、 rndr、 玫瑰、 符文、 rvn、 沙、 sei、 sfp、 skl、 snx、 sol、 ssv、 stg、 storj、 stx、 sui、 sushi、 sxp、 theta、 tia、 trx、 t 、uma、uni 、vet、waves、wld、woo、xem、xlm、xmr、xrp、xtz、yfi、zec、zen、zil、zrx] 整體相關性
市場廣度_整體情緒
Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 65% of them were priced above the 30-day moving average, 35% of them were above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 26% of them were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 64% of them were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that the overall market was in a stage where most coins resumed their upward trend.
The above picture shows [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator
總結
In the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) rose 3.58% to a record high, while Ethereum (ETH) fluctuated near its previous high. At the same time, their historical volatility remained low. Bitcoins trading volume increased after the rise on June 3, while Ethereums trading volume was generally sluggish. The open interest of Bitcoin and Ethereum increased slightly, and the implied volatility decreased. In addition, Bitcoins funding rate remained at a normal level, and the market breadth indicator showed that the overall market was in a stage where most currencies resumed their upward trend. 2024.6.7 20:30 The US non-farm data was significantly better than expected, and the price rebounded after a sharp drop.
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