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Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

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Mild inflation data, price range fluctuations

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Nguồn hình ảnh: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/13/wednesdays-cpi-report-could-mark-a-change-in-thinking-for-the-fed.html?qsearchterm=CPI

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Nguồn hình ảnh: https://hk.investing.com/

This week, two important inflation data, PPI and CPI, were released. CNBC said the data showed that the United States has passed the environment of ultra-high inflation. Moderate inflation data may mean that the Federal Reserve can turn its attention to other economic challenges, such as employment rate.

Dữ liệu: PPI data, an indicator of producer inflation, showed that prices rose by only 0.2% in July and were up about 2.2% year-on-year. This figure is now very close to the Feds 2% target, indicating that market expectations for the central bank to start cutting interest rates are basically on target.

CPI data, an indicator of consumer inflation, showed a year-on-year growth rate of 2.9% over the past 12 months, a figure that, while much lower than the high point in mid-2022, is still far from the Feds 2% target.

In terms of market conditions: After the release of the PPI data at 20:30 on the evening of the 13th, Hong Kong time, the market began to rise, and Bitcoin rose from 59,000 to around 61,500. It was not until the release of the CPI data at 20:30 on the 14th that the market began to fall, and Bitcoin fell from 61,500 to around 58,000.

Future events: The latest employment rate data will be released on September 6, the latest CPI and PPI data will be released on September 11 and 12, and the Federal Reserve will hold its interest rate decision at 02:00 Hong Kong time on September 19. September will be a critical node. If the Federal Reserve decides to cut interest rates, the market may bring a new round of surprises.

There are about 33 days until the next Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (September 19, 2024)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

Phân tích môi trường tâm lý và kỹ thuật thị trường

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Thành phần phân tích tình cảm

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Chỉ báo kỹ thuật

Price Trends

BTC price fell -6.72% and ETH price fell -4.2% in the past week.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Hình trên là biểu đồ giá BTC trong tuần qua.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Hình trên là biểu đồ giá của ETH trong tuần qua.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Bảng hiển thị tỷ lệ thay đổi giá trong tuần qua.

Biểu đồ phân bổ khối lượng giá (Hỗ trợ và kháng cự)

In the past week, both BTC and ETH have been fluctuating downward in a range of dense trading areas.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Hình trên cho thấy sự phân bố của các khu vực giao dịch dày đặc BTC trong tuần qua.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Hình ảnh trên cho thấy sự phân bố của các khu vực giao dịch dày đặc ETH trong tuần qua.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Bảng hiển thị phạm vi giao dịch chuyên sâu hàng tuần của BTC và ETH trong tuần qua.

Khối lượng và lãi suất mở

In the past week, both BTC and ETH had the largest trading volume when they rebounded sharply on August 12; the open interest of BTC increased while that of ETH decreased.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Phần trên của hình trên thể hiện xu hướng giá của BTC, phần giữa hiển thị khối lượng giao dịch, phần dưới hiển thị lãi suất mở, màu xanh nhạt là mức trung bình 1 ngày và màu cam là mức trung bình 7 ngày. Màu của đường K thể hiện trạng thái hiện tại, màu xanh lá cây nghĩa là sự tăng giá được hỗ trợ bởi khối lượng giao dịch, màu đỏ nghĩa là đóng các vị thế, màu vàng nghĩa là các vị thế tích lũy chậm và màu đen nghĩa là trạng thái đông đúc.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Phần trên của hình trên thể hiện xu hướng giá của ETH, phần giữa là khối lượng giao dịch, phần dưới là lãi suất mở, màu xanh nhạt là mức trung bình 1 ngày và màu cam là mức trung bình 7 ngày. Màu của đường K thể hiện trạng thái hiện tại, màu xanh lá cây có nghĩa là việc tăng giá được hỗ trợ bởi khối lượng giao dịch, màu đỏ là đóng các vị thế, màu vàng là các vị thế đang dần tích lũy và màu đen là đông đúc.

Biến động lịch sử so với Biến động ngụ ý

In the past week, the historical volatility of BTC and ETH was the highest when they rebounded sharply on August 12; the implied volatility of BTC and ETH both decreased.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Đường màu vàng là độ biến động lịch sử, đường màu xanh lam là độ biến động ngụ ý và chấm màu đỏ là mức trung bình 7 ngày.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Hướng sự kiện

The PPI and CPI inflation data were released this past week. After the PPI data was released at 20:30 on the evening of the 13th Hong Kong time, the market began to rise, and Bitcoin rose from 59,000 to around 61,500. It was not until 20:30 on the 14th when the CPI data was released that the market began to fall, and Bitcoin fell from 61,500 to around 58,000.

Chỉ số tình cảm

Động lực tình cảm

In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/SSE 300, Nasdaq was the strongest, while Bitcoin performed the worst.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Hình ảnh trên cho thấy xu hướng của các tài sản khác nhau trong tuần qua.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Lãi suất cho vay_Tâm lý cho vay

The average annualized return on USD lending over the past week was 8.1%, and short-term interest rates remained at 6.7%.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Đường màu vàng là mức giá cao nhất của lãi suất USD, đường màu xanh là 75% của mức giá cao nhất và đường màu đỏ là mức trung bình 7 ngày của 75% của mức giá cao nhất.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Bảng thể hiện lợi nhuận trung bình của lãi suất USD tại các ngày nắm giữ khác nhau trong quá khứ

Tỷ lệ tài trợ_Tâm lý đòn bẩy hợp đồng

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 0.2%, and contract leverage sentiment continued to decline.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Đường màu xanh là tỷ lệ tài trợ của BTC trên Binance và đường màu đỏ là mức trung bình 7 ngày của nó

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Bảng hiển thị lợi nhuận trung bình của phí BTC cho các ngày nắm giữ khác nhau trong quá khứ.

Tương quan thị trường_Tâm lý đồng thuận

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week was around 0.45, and the consistency between different varieties has dropped from a high level.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx , imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx , sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

Độ rộng thị trường_Tâm lý chung

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 4% of them were priced above the 30-day moving average, 24% of them were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 6% of them were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 7% of them were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market maintained a downward trend.

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

The picture above is [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot , icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Tóm tắt

In the past week, the prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showed a volatile downward trend, especially when the historical volatility and trading volume reached a peak during the sharp drop and rebound on August 12. The open interest of BTC increased, while that of ETH decreased. The implied volatility decreased. Bitcoin performed the worst in comparison with gold, Nasdaq, Hang Seng Index and CSI 300, while Nasdaq performed the strongest. Bitcoins funding rate continued to decline, reflecting the continued decline in market participants interest in its leveraged trading. The correlation between the selected 129 currencies remained at around 0.45, showing that the consistency between different varieties has declined from a high level. The market breadth indicator shows that most cryptocurrencies in the overall market are still in a downward trend. The market began to rise after the PPI data was released on the 13th, and then the market began to fall after the CPI data was released on the 14th.

Twitter: @ https://x.com/CTA_ChannelCmt

Trang mạng: channelcmt.com

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