Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

Mild inflation data, prbuz range fluctuations

Resim kaynağı: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/13/wednesdays-cpi-report-could-mark-a-change-in-thinking-for-the-fed.html?qsearchterm=CPI

Resim kaynağı: https://hk.investing.com/

This week, two important inflation data, PPI and CPI, were released. CNBC syapay zekad the data showed that the United States has passed the environment of ultra-high inflation. Moderate inflation data may mean that the Federal Reserve can turn its attention to other economic challenges, such as employment rate.

Data: PPI data, an indicator of producer inflation, showed that prices rose by only 0.2% in July and were up about 2.2% year-on-year. This figure is now very close to the Feds 2% target, indicating that market expectations for the central bank to start cutting interest rates are basically on target.

CPI data, an indicator of consumer inflation, showed a year-on-year growth rate of 2.9% over the past 12 months, a figure that, while much lower than the high point in mid-2022, is still far from the Feds 2% target.

In terms of market conditions: After the release of the PPI data at 20:30 on the evening of the 13th, Hong Kong time, the market began to rise, and Bitcoin rose from 59,000 to around 61,500. It was not until the release of the CPI data at 20:30 on the 14th that the market began to fall, and Bitcoin fell from 61,500 to around 58,000.

Future events: The latest employment rate data will be released on September 6, the latest CPI and PPI data will be released on September 11 and 12, and the Federal Reserve will hold its interest rate decision at 02:00 Hong Kong time on September 19. September will be a critical node. If the Federal Reserve decides to cut interest rates, the market may bring a new round of surprises.

There are about 33 days until the next Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (September 19, 2024)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

Piyasa teknik ve duyarlılık ortamı analizi

Duygu Analizi Bileşenleri

Teknik göstergeler

Price Trends

BTC price fell -6.72% and ETH price fell -4.2% in the past week.

Yukarıdaki resim BTC'nin geçen haftaki fiyat tablosudur.

Yukarıdaki resim ETH'nin geçen haftaki fiyat tablosudur.

Tabloda geçtiğimiz haftadaki fiyat değişim oranları gösterilmektedir.

Fiyat Hacim Dağılım Grafiği (Destek ve Direnç)

In the past week, both BTC and ETH have been fluctuating downward in a range of dense trading areas.

Yukarıdaki resim, geçtiğimiz hafta BTC'lerin yoğun işlem alanlarının dağılımını göstermektedir.

Yukarıdaki resim, geçtiğimiz hafta ETH'lerin yoğun işlem alanlarının dağılımını gösteriyor.

Tablo, geçen hafta BTC ve ETH'nin haftalık yoğun işlem aralığını gösteriyor.

Hacim ve Açık Faiz

In the past week, both BTC and ETH had the largest trading volume when they rebounded sharply on August 12; the open interest of BTC increased while that of ETH decreased.

Yukarıdaki resmin üst kısmı BTC'nin fiyat eğilimini, ortası işlem hacmini, alt kısmı açık pozisyonları, açık mavi 1 günlük ortalamayı, turuncu ise 7 günlük ortalamayı göstermektedir. K çizgisinin rengi mevcut durumu temsil eder, yeşil fiyat artışının işlem hacmi tarafından desteklendiğini, kırmızı pozisyonların kapatıldığını, sarı yavaş yavaş biriken pozisyonları, siyah ise kalabalık durumu ifade eder.

Yukarıdaki resmin üst kısmı ETH'nin fiyat eğilimini, ortası işlem hacmini, alt kısmı açık pozisyonları, açık mavi 1 günlük ortalamayı ve turuncu ise 7 günlük ortalamayı göstermektedir. K çizgisinin rengi mevcut durumu temsil eder, yeşil fiyat artışının işlem hacmi tarafından desteklendiğini, kırmızı pozisyonların kapandığını, sarı yavaş yavaş pozisyonların toplandığını ve siyah ise kalabalık olduğunu gösterir.

Tarihsel Volatilite ve İma Edilen Volatilite

In the past week, the historical volatility of BTC and ETH was the highest when they rebounded sharply on August 12; the implied volatility of BTC and ETH both decreased.

Sarı çizgi tarihsel oynaklığı, mavi çizgi ima edilen oynaklığı, kırmızı nokta ise 7 günlük ortalamayı gösteriyor.

Olay odaklı

The PPI and CPI inflation data were released this past week. After the PPI data was released at 20:30 on the evening of the 13th Hong Kong time, the market began to rise, and Bitcoin rose from 59,000 to around 61,500. It was not until 20:30 on the 14th when the CPI data was released that the market began to fall, and Bitcoin fell from 61,500 to around 58,000.

Duygu Göstergeleri

Momentum Duyarlılığı

In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/SSE 300, Nasdaq was the strongest, while Bitcoin performed the worst.

Yukarıdaki resim farklı varlıkların geçen haftaki eğilimini göstermektedir.

Borç Verme Oranı_Kredi Verme Duyarlılığı

The average annualized return on USD lending over the past week was 8.1%, and short-term interest rates remained at 6.7%.

Sarı çizgi USD faiz oranının en yüksek fiyatı, mavi çizgi en yüksek fiyat olan 75%, kırmızı çizgi ise en yüksek fiyat olan 75%'nin 7 günlük ortalamasıdır.

Tablo, geçmişteki farklı elde tutma günlerinde ABD doları faiz oranlarının ortalama getirisini göstermektedir

Fonlama Oranı_Sözleşme Kaldıraç Duyarlılığı

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 0.2%, and contract leverage sentiment continued to decline.

Mavi çizgi BTC'nin Binance'teki fonlama oranı, kırmızı çizgi ise 7 günlük ortalamasıdır

Tablo, geçmişteki farklı tutma günleri için BTC ücretlerinin ortalama getirisini göstermektedir.

Piyasa Korelasyonu_Konsensüs Duyarlılığı

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week was around 0.45, and the consistency between different varieties has dropped from a high level.

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx , imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx , sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

Pazar Genişliği_Genel Duygu

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 4% of them were priced above the 30-day moving average, 24% of them were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 6% of them were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 7% of them were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market maintained a downward trend.

The picture above is [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot , icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

Özetle

In the past week, the prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showed a volatile downward trend, especially when the historical volatility and trading volume reached a peak during the sharp drop and rebound on August 12. The open interest of BTC increased, while that of ETH decreased. The implied volatility decreased. Bitcoin performed the worst in comparison with gold, Nasdaq, Hang Seng Index and CSI 300, while Nasdaq performed the strongest. Bitcoins funding rate continued to decline, reflecting the continued decline in market participants interest in its leveraged trading. The correlation between the selected 129 currencies remained at around 0.45, showing that the consistency between different varieties has declined from a high level. The market breadth indicator shows that most cryptocurrencies in the overall market are still in a downward trend. The market began to rise after the PPI data was released on the 13th, and then the market began to fall after the CPI data was released on the 14th.

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This article is sourced from the internet: Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.09-08.16): Mild Inflation Data Price Range Fluctuation

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