Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.12-07.19): Trumps assassination drives Bitcoin up

Trump assassination drives Bitcoin surge

The rising probability of Trumps victory has made risky assets such as Bitcoin popular. In particular, the Republican Party mentioned in its latest campyapay zekagn platform that if Trump takes offbuz, it will end the suppression of cryptocurrencies, which has greatly boosted confidence in the cryptocurrency market.

The “Trump deal” is a hit.

After Trump was attacked over the weekend, a series of Trump-related assets such as U.S. Treasury yields and Bitcoin soared. This is all thanks to the fact that he survived the assassination attempt, and the American peoples support for Trump has soared.

Among them, Bitcoin rose for six consecutive days, with a total increase of 11.59% this week, reaching a high of US$66,000.

There are about 11 days until the next Fed meeting (August 1, 2024)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

Piyasa teknik ve duyarlılık ortamı analizi

Duygu Analizi Bileşenleri

Teknik göstergeler

Fiyat eğilimi

In the past week, BTC prices rose 11.59% and ETH prices rose 10.55%.

Yukarıdaki resim BTC'nin geçen haftaki fiyat tablosudur.

Yukarıdaki resim ETH'nin geçen haftaki fiyat tablosudur.

Tabloda geçtiğimiz haftadaki fiyat değişim oranları gösterilmektedir.

Fiyat Hacim Dağılım Grafiği (Destek ve Direnç)

In the past week, BTC and ETH formed a new intensive trading area as they rose to high levels and increased in volume.

Yukarıdaki resim, geçtiğimiz hafta BTC'lerin yoğun işlem alanlarının dağılımını göstermektedir.

Yukarıdaki resim, geçtiğimiz hafta ETH'lerin yoğun işlem alanlarının dağılımını gösteriyor.

Tablo, geçen hafta BTC ve ETH'nin haftalık yoğun işlem aralığını gösteriyor.

Hacim ve Açık Faiz

In the past week, BTC and ETH had the largest trading volume when they rose from July 15 to 16; the open interest of BTC and ETH both fell slightly.

Yukarıdaki resmin üst kısmı BTC'nin fiyat eğilimini, ortası işlem hacmini, alt kısmı açık pozisyonları, açık mavi 1 günlük ortalamayı, turuncu ise 7 günlük ortalamayı göstermektedir. K çizgisinin rengi mevcut durumu temsil eder, yeşil fiyat artışının işlem hacmi tarafından desteklendiğini, kırmızı pozisyonların kapatıldığını, sarı yavaş yavaş biriken pozisyonları, siyah ise kalabalık durumu ifade eder.

Yukarıdaki resmin üst kısmı ETH'nin fiyat eğilimini, ortası işlem hacmini, alt kısmı açık pozisyonları, açık mavi 1 günlük ortalamayı ve turuncu ise 7 günlük ortalamayı göstermektedir. K çizgisinin rengi mevcut durumu temsil eder, yeşil fiyat artışının işlem hacmi tarafından desteklendiğini, kırmızı pozisyonların kapandığını, sarı yavaş yavaş pozisyonların toplandığını ve siyah ise kalabalık olduğunu gösterir.

Tarihsel Volatilite ve İma Edilen Volatilite

In the past week, the historical volatility of BTC and ETH was the highest when it rose to 7.16; the implied volatility of BTC and ETH rose synchronously.

Sarı çizgi tarihsel oynaklığı, mavi çizgi ima edilen oynaklığı, kırmızı nokta ise 7 günlük ortalamayı gösteriyor.

Olay odaklı

There were no major data releases in the past week.

Duygu Göstergeleri

Momentum Duyarlılığı

In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/SSE 300, Bitcoin was the strongest, while Nasdaq performed the worst.

Yukarıdaki resim farklı varlıkların geçen haftaki eğilimini göstermektedir.

Borç Verme Oranı_Kredi Verme Duyarlılığı

The average annualized return on USD lending over the past week was 8.9%, and short-term interest rates rose to 12.6%.

Sarı çizgi USD faiz oranının en yüksek fiyatı, mavi çizgi en yüksek fiyat olan 75%, kırmızı çizgi ise en yüksek fiyat olan 75%'nin 7 günlük ortalamasıdır.

Tablo, geçmişteki farklı elde tutma günlerinde ABD doları faiz oranlarının ortalama getirisini göstermektedir

Fonlama Oranı_Sözleşme Kaldıraç Duyarlılığı

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 4.4%, and contract leverage sentiment remained at a low level.

Mavi çizgi BTC'nin Binance'teki fonlama oranı, kırmızı çizgi ise 7 günlük ortalamasıdır

The table shows the average return of BTC fees for different holding days in the past.

Piyasa Korelasyonu_Konsensüs Duyarlılığı

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week remained at around 0.9, and the consistency between different varieties increased significantly.

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx , imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx , sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

Pazar Genişliği_Genel Duygu

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 78% of the prices were above the 30-day moving average, 37% of the prices were above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 33% of the prices were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 67.7% of the prices were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicators in the past week showed that most of the coins in the overall market rebounded and rose.

The picture above is [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot , icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

Özetle

In the past week, the prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) rose for 6 consecutive days, while the volatility and trading volume of these two cryptocurrencies reached the highest level when they rose on July 16. The open interest of Bitcoin and Ethereum is declining. In addition, the implied volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has also risen in tandem. Bitcoins funding rate remains at a low level, which may reflect the continued low leverage sentiment of market participants towards Bitcoin. Market breadth indicators show that most cryptocurrencies have rebounded and risen, indicating that the overall market has rebounded from lows in the past week.

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