Изучаем данные Scroll: какова предполагаемая цена за единицу баллов? Стоит ли еще участвовать в снимке af

Оригинал | Odaily Planet Daily ( @OdailyChina )

Автор锝淣Ань Чжи ( @Assassin_Malvo )

Yesterday, Scroll announced the launch of Binance Launchpool. Users who participate in the airdrop will receive 7% of the tokens. Binance Launchpool will allocate 5.5% of the tokens and will take a snapshot on October 19, which means that users still have the opportunity to participate in the airdrop.

What is the value of Scroll points? What is the value of the remaining ten days of Scrolling? Odaily will answer this question by deducing the points data in this article.

Total Points and Estimated Value

The Scroll mainnet was launched on October 17, 2023. According to Odaily statistics, there are 2.495 million addresses that have made one or more transactions since the mainnet was launched.

(Odaily Note: Although you can get Scroll points Marks by just cross-chain, depositing in Aave will get double points without risk, so it is assumed here that all rational addresses will make a transaction.)

In addition, data from LayerHub shows a total of 3,076,903 addresses, and scrollstat shows a total of 2,552,610 addresses.)

Odaily extracted 10,000 wallets that had conducted transactions, aiming to use some wallets to estimate the overall points. The points distribution of these 10,000 wallets is as follows:

• Видно, что small accounts with scores below 100 are the largest, accounting for nearly 50% . Overall, users with scores below 5,000 are the main group , and the proportion of higher scores decreases sharply.

• The average score of these 10,000 addresses is 2,787 points , so the total score of the entire network is estimated to be 2,787 脳 2.495 million = 695 million points .

• In yesterdays article Какова разумная цена Scroll, последнего звена публичной цепи, на Binance Launchpool? , we estimated that the price of a single coin is 1.15 USDT , and a total of 70 million SCRs are allocated to Scroll users. The unit price of points is 1.15 脳 70000000 梅 6.95 梅 10 ^ 8 = 0.1158 USD/point.

• The top three addresses counted here are 0xaf8ae6955d07776ab690e565ba6fbc79b8de3a5d , 0xe93685f3bba03016f02bd1828badd6195988d950 , и 0xb8ff877ed78ba520ece21b1de7843a8a57ca47cb . Readers can view their interactions through LayerHub . scrollstat also gives the details of the top 100 addresses.

Is it still too late to roll up now?

Scroll officials have not given the conversion relationship between the deposit amount and the Scroll Mark. According to community backtesting, 0.1 ETH deposited for one month can earn about 30-50 points. Here, we calculate based on 0.1 ETH earning 1 point per day.

Assuming that the government has set a minimum living allowance lower limit, here it is assumed that 50% of users are minimum living allowance users, then they need to obtain 100 points. Based on 10 days of deposits, they need to deposit 100 梅 10 梅 0.1 = 100 0.1 ETH, that is, they need to deposit 10 ETH for a total of 10 days.

Assuming that 5000 points are considered premium, the corresponding deposit required is 5000 梅 10 = 500 ETH, which is worth about 1.2 million US dollars.

Based on the estimated point value of $0.1158 per point, each 0.1 ETH will receive $0.1158 in tokens per day, which is converted to 0.1158 梅 0.1 梅 2420 脳 365 = 17.4% annually. However, since existing users will also dilute their points in the next ten days, the rate of return will actually be slightly reduced, but it will still be higher than the regular ETH rate of return.

This article is sourced from the internet: Digging into Scroll data: What is the estimated unit price of points? Is it still worth participating in the snapshot after ten days?

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