Market Trends
In the past week, the price of BTC has generally fluctuated sideways. Although it triggered a unilateral decline on the 16th, reaching a minimum of $56,078, with a maximum decline of 6% on the day, the subsequent BTC price rebound was relatively strong, and the price returned to $58,000 on the day. As of the publication of this article, BTC bulls have broken through the $60,000 resistance level, with a price of $60,854 (the above data comes from Binance spot, August 20 15:00). The price trend of ETH is similar to that of BTC, and most crypto assets follow the decline and rise of BTC. Trading View data shows that the overall market value of cryptocurrencies is 2.014 trillion US dollars, and BTC accounts for 57.16%.
Market Analysis Hot Spots Follow-up
Market sentiment is sensitive, and the butterfly effect may intensify
The vacillation of the Fear and Greed Index further highlights the sensitivity and fragility of the market. The public is caught in a cycle of doubt about whether the economy has entered a recession and urgently needs more data to verify and authenticate. In a highly sensitive market environment, it is not just changes in macro data that will amplify market fluctuations. Any data changes or time may cause drastic changes in the market.
The crypto market lacks hot spot support recently. In addition, Trump, who is expected to be elected, lags behind Harris in the polls. It is more difficult for BTC to realize the big positive news this year. At the same time, the number of days with net outflows of BTC spot ETF increased last week, and the net inflow value was only 32 million US dollars. Under the premise of the good performance of US stocks, institutional investors interest in BTC has declined.
The Fed meeting minutes will be released on Wednesday, and the market expects a 78% chance of a rate cut
Data from the CME FedWatch tool shows that traders currently expect a 78% chance of a 0.25% rate cut at the Feds September meeting, a 59% chance of a 50 basis point cut in November, and a 42% chance of a 75 basis point cut in December. The minutes of the Feds most recent meeting will be released on Wednesday, which could bring new volatility to the crypto market.
The Democratic Party has not yet expressed its attitude towards crypto assets, and Trump continues to throw out gimmicks to attract young voters
According to Fox Business reporter Eleanor Terrett, the Democratic Party of the United States officially released their party platform on the first day of its National Convention, but it did not mention blockchain technology, Bitcoin, digital assets or anything related to cryptocurrencies. The market continues to pay attention to Harris personal views on crypto assets. Trump tried to continue to attract crypto enthusiasts and young voters, saying that if he is elected as the next US president, he would consider canceling the $7,500 electric vehicle tax credit; he would also consider letting Elon Musk serve as a cabinet or advisory role if he is willing.
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As the markets fear of a US recession subsides, global stock markets are returning to historical highs, causing a certain degree of liquidity withdrawal from crypto assets. Although crypto assets lack hot support, as BTC breaks through the $60,000 resistance level and stabilizes, it is not ruled out that BTC may usher in a small wave of increases. In the face of the current high volatility, investors are advised to diversify investment risks and seek rational and stable returns.
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면책 조항: 위의 내용은 홍콩 특별행정구, 미국, 싱가포르 및 그러한 제안이나 권유가 법으로 금지될 수 있는 다른 국가나 지역의 거주자에게 투자 조언, 매도 제안 또는 매수 제안 권유를 구성하지 않습니다. 디지털 자산 거래는 매우 위험하고 변동이 심할 수 있습니다. 투자 결정은 개인 상황을 신중하게 고려하고 금융 전문가와 상의한 후에 내려야 합니다. Matrixport는 이 콘텐츠에 제공된 정보를 기반으로 한 투자 결정에 대해 책임을 지지 않습니다.
This article is sourced from the internet: Matrixport Market Observation: Market sentiment remains sensitive and volatility in the crypto market will continue
Original text arrangement translation: TechFlow Guests : Vitalik Buterin , Founder of Ethereum; Christopher Goes , Co-founder of Anoma Moderator : Michael Ippolito Podcast source : Bell Curve Original title : EthCC Campside Chat: Protocols, Ecosystems, Community Tokens | Vitalik Buterin Christopher Goes Air Date : July 17, 2024 Summary of key points In this special episode, Vitalik Buterin and Christopher Goes join us live during the intention discussion session during EthCC 2024! Key highlights from this sideline talk include: Vitalik’s reflections on the cryptocurrency journey so far, and his insights on the birth of Ethereum, unbundling blockchain components, and competing with centralized protocols. The interview ends with thoughts on social consensus and the importance of learning from past failures to better navigate future developments. Reflections on the past 15…