Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.19-07.26): Ethereum price fell by more than 7.5%, and ETHE capital outf

Ethereum pr氷 drops more than 7.5%, ETHE outflow surges

Data from Coinglass

ETHE is Grayscales Ethereum trust ETF with a fee of 2.5%. The Ethereum spot ETF had an overall net outflow of $133 million on the second day of listing. The culprit was Grayscales ETHE, which caused the sharp drop in Ethereum this week, with ETH falling to as low as around $3,100.

For most investors, the decision comes down to fees. Eight of the nine ETFs have management fees between 0.15% and 0.25%. Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (ETH), a new fund created specifically for listing as an ETF, has a management fee of just 0.15%. These fees will be wあいved completely for the first six months after listing or until the funds assets under management (AUM) reaches $2 billion.

There are about 5 days until the next Fed meeting (2024.08.01)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

市場テクニカルおよび感情環境分析

感情分析コンポーネント

テクニカル指標

価格動向

BTC price rose 2.83% in the past week, while ETH price fell -7.33%.

上の画像は、過去 1 週間の BTC の価格チャートです。

上の画像は、過去 1 週間の ETH の価格チャートです。

表には過去 1 週間の価格変動率が表示されています。

価格ボリューム分布チャート（サポートとレジスタンス）

In the past week, BTC rose and then fell back into the concentrated trading area, while ETH fell and formed a new concentrated trading area at a low level.

上の図は、過去 1 週間の BTC の取引密度の高いエリアの分布を示しています。

上の図は、過去 1 週間の ETH 密集取引エリアの分布を示しています。

この表は、過去 1 週間の BTC と ETH の週ごとの集中取引範囲を示しています。

取引量と建玉

The biggest volume this past week was when BTC rose on July 19 and ETH fell on July 25; open interest rose for both BTC and ETH.

上の図の上はBTCの価格動向、真ん中は取引量、下は未決済建玉、水色は1日平均、オレンジ色は7日平均です。Kラインの色は現在の状態を表し、緑は価格上昇が取引量によって支えられていること、赤はポジションのクローズ、黄色はゆっくりとポジションを蓄積していること、黒は混雑した状態を意味します。

上の図の上はETHの価格動向、真ん中は取引量、下は未決済建玉、水色は1日平均、オレンジ色は7日平均です。Kラインの色は現在の状態を表し、緑は価格上昇が取引量によって支えられていること、赤はポジションをクローズしていること、黄色はゆっくりとポジションを蓄積していること、黒は混雑していることを意味しています。

ヒストリカルボラティリティとインプライドボラティリティ

Historical volatility was highest this past week with BTC at 7.23 and ETH at 7.25; implied volatility was up with BTC and down with ETH.

黄色の線は過去のボラティリティ、青い線はインプライド ボラティリティ、赤い点は 7 日間の平均です。

イベント駆動型

There were no major data releases in the past week.

感情指標

モメンタムセンチメント

In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/CSI 300, Bitcoin was the strongest, while Hang Seng Index performed the worst.

上の図は、過去 1 週間のさまざまな資産の傾向を示しています。

貸出金利_貸出感情

The average annualized return on USD lending over the past week was 9.2%, and short-term interest rates fell to 6%.

黄色の線はUSD金利の最高値、青い線は最高値の75%、赤い線は最高値の75%の7日間平均です。

この表は、過去の異なる保有日における米ドル金利の平均リターンを示している。

資金調達率_契約レバレッジ感情

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 5.3%, and contract leverage sentiment rebounded from a low level.

青い線はBinanceでのBTCの資金調達率、赤い線は7日間の平均です。

この表は、過去のさまざまな保有日における BTC 手数料の平均リターンを示しています。

市場相関_コンセンサスセンチメント

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week was around 0.75, and the consistency between different varieties fell sharply and then rebounded.

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx , imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx , sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

市場の幅_全体的な感情

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 30% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average, 10% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 15% of the coins were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 20% of the coins were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market returned to a downward trend.

The picture above is [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot , icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

要約する

In the past week, the market performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum was different. Bitcoin fluctuated widely within the range, with the trading volume reaching the highest point on July 19 when it rose, the open interest volume increased, the implied volatility increased, and the funding rate rebounded, indicating that market sentiment has warmed up. Ethereum, on the other hand, fell in price after the shock, mainly affected by the outflow of ETHE funds, with the trading volume reaching the highest point on July 25 when it fell, the open interest volume increased, and the implied volatility decreased. The market breadth indicator shows that most cryptocurrencies have returned to a downward trend, indicating that the entire market has been dominated by declines in the past week.

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This article is sourced from the internet: Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.19-07.26): Ethereum price fell by more than 7.5%, and ETHE capital outflow surged

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