Bitcoin returns to the $100,000 mark, will a general rise in prices come?

Penulis asli: shaofaye 123, Foresight News

As we entered 2025, Bitcoin once again broke through the $100,000 mark, and the market seems to be gradually recovering amid the volatility.

Around 10 pm on January 6, the price of BTC rose above $100,000 and is now hovering around $102,000. ETH also quickly rebounded above $3,600. With continuous good news, BTC closed positive for seven consecutive days on the daily chart, and the market seems to be gradually moving towards optimism. What happened in the market?

BTC market data is positive

Bitcoin spot ETF data is one of the important reference indicators for observing over-the-counter fund inflows. Looking back at December, according to SoSoValue data, there was a continuous positive inflow in the first half of the month, but the performance in the second half of the month was unsatisfactory. Since January, Bitcoin ETF spot has once again achieved net inflows. Its total net asset value is currently $111.46 billion, and the ETF net asset ratio (market value to the total market value of Bitcoin) is 5.72%, with a historical cumulative net inflow of $35.91 billion.

Institutions are increasing their holdings of BTC

On January 3, according to official news from MicroStrategy, it will raise $2 billion in the first quarter by issuing preferred shares to buy more BTC. This lays the foundation for the increase in BTC buying. According to Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley: According to HOD L1 5 Capital statistics, 11 listed companies have bought more Bitcoin since last Monday. In 2025, a large number of companies will join the Bitcoin standard. Michael Saylor has developed a script for a movement.

MicroStrategy has been purchasing Bitcoin for nine consecutive weeks. On January 6, it increased its holdings by another 1,070 Bitcoins for approximately $101 million, with an average price of $94,004. Its current holdings have reached 447,470 BTC, with a total holding of approximately $44.3 billion.

According to news from Bitcoin mining company MARA Digital, it will continue to increase its holdings of Bitcoin in its balance sheet in 2025. Its current holdings are about 44,000 BTC, worth more than $4 billion. KULR, a US listed company, has increased its holdings by 213.43 BTC, and its current holdings have reached 430.61 BTC.

Japanese company Metaplanet plans to increase its Bitcoin holdings to 10,000 by 2025 to expand Metaplanets influence in Japan and the Bitcoin ecosystem.

According to Cointelegraph, El Salvador has also increased its holdings of 5 BTC since the New Year, bringing its total holdings to 6,009, worth about $595 million. Major institutions around the world have increased their holdings of BTC, and BTC buying power continues to increase.

Trump-themed Memecoins saw an increase in value, and the altcoin sector continued to recover

Since Trumps successful campaign in early November, the market has continued to rise for a month. In the early morning of January 7, the U.S. Congress officially confirmed Trumps election as president. As he is about to take office, the related kripto projects and related tokens have once again attracted attention.

Trump concept memecoin TRUMP has been rising for three consecutive days since January 4, with an increase of more than 80%; MAGA, TRUMPCOIN and other memecoins have all seen a nearly 100% increase, but fell back yesterday. However, its family project World Liberty Financials holdings of LINK, AAVE, ENA, COW and other tokens have not risen significantly.

Trumps crypto-friendly attitude is a major factor in the markets recent optimism. But according to Reuters, Angeles Investments Chief Investment Officer Michael Rosen said that Trumps inauguration may also bring some surprises to the market. He is expected to issue at least 25 executive orders on his first day in office, covering a range of issues from immigration to energy and cryptocurrency policies.

Currently, the crypto market sentiment has entered a relatively optimistic state, and the altcoin sector is still recovering. According to Alternative.me data, the cryptocurrency fear and greed index has gradually risen above 70 since January. Today, the index reached 78, and the market has turned into an extreme greed state.

Compared with the rapid growth of Bitcoin, the altcoin sector has experienced mixed gains and losses. In the 24-hour increase, the public chain sector SOL once again broke through 220 USDT to achieve an increase, AVAX achieved a growth of about 6%, and the growth of other public chains stagnated. SUI fell back to 5 USDT after reaching a new high, and TON fluctuated around 5.7 USDT.

The Ethereum ecosystem, including DeFi, re-staking, L2, stablecoins and other sectors, also experienced a short-term correction. EIGEN fell slightly after rising for three consecutive days, LDO fell by about 3%, ENA had a sharp correction of about 10%, and OP, ARB and others also fell slightly after closing positive for five consecutive days.

CES, the science and technology Spring Festival Gala, is held, and AI concept welcomes good news again

The Spring Festival Gala of the Technology Industry CES 2025 (International Consumer Electronics Show) will kick off in Las Vegas, the United States from January 7 to January 11. During the exhibition, technology giants such as NVIDIA, AMD, Toyota and Samsung will all appear and release their latest products and strategic plans for consumers.

Against this backdrop, the US stock market rose on January 6, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by more than 380 points, the Nasdaq Composite Index rising by 2% before falling back, and the chip index rising by more than 4%. The Seven Sisters of Technology rose across the board, with Meta closing up 4.23%, Nvidia up 3.43%, Google A up 2.65%, Amazon up 1.53%, Microsoft up 1.06%, Apple up 0.67%, and Tesla up 0.15%.

As Nvidia CEO Huang Renxun will deliver an opening speech on January 7, Nvidias stock price has risen for three consecutive days to hit a new high. According to market news, Huang Renxun may officially release the new generation of GeForce RTX 50 series graphics cards, including RTX 5090, 5080 and 5060, in his speech.

In the crypto market, AI application coins generally rose, and AI Memecoin continued to rise. WLD rose by more than 10% in 24 hours, RENDER rose by 8%, and IOTA rose by 6%. In the past 24 hours, except for VIRTUAL, ZEREBRO, FARTCOIN, etc., which fell slightly, the rest rose. SWARMS approached a market value of 500 million, achieving an increase of more than 80%. AI16Z reached 2.25 USDT, an increase of more than 25%. GRIFFAIN, ARC, etc. all rose by more than 20%, and AIXBT also rose again to above 0.55 USDT.

What analysts think

In early February 2024, Markus Thielen, founder and head of research at 10X Research, said, Bitcoin tends to rise 11% around the Lunar New Year. In the past nine years, traders who bought Bitcoin three days before the Lunar New Year and sold it 10 days after the Lunar New Year would have made good profits. The 2025 Spring Festival is January 29, which is earlier than in previous years, and the market performance is worth looking forward to.

John Glover, chief investment officer of Ledn, said Bitcoin could fall back to $89,000 before rebounding to $125,000 by the end of the first quarter and hitting $160,000 by the end of this year or early next year.

Bitfinex released a report saying, We see that the market remains strong. Although there may be a deeper correction in the first quarter of 2025, the bullish sentiment of miners and the overall tightening of supply indicate that Bitcoin has good upside potential in the medium term. The overall selling pressure from miners, long-term holders and other groups has been significantly reduced. The reduction in the supply entering circulation in the market has alleviated the impact of the recent pullback.

Bernstein analysts released ten predictions for the crypto industry in 2025, stating that the crypto industry will enter the infinite era, the Bitcoin price target in 2025 will be $200,000, the stablecoin market size will exceed $500 billion, the net inflow of spot Bitcoin ETFs will exceed $70 billion, and the integration of crypto and artificial intelligence will be further deepened.

But some analysts have expressed concerns about the market.

QCP said, We do not expect a large-scale short squeeze in the short term, and the relevant catalyst for Trump may not appear until after the inauguration on January 20.

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, said in his latest blog post Sasa that he believes the crypto market will peak in mid-March and then experience a severe correction. He recommends that investors sell in the late first quarter and wait for liquidity conditions to improve in the third quarter.

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