Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.06.21-06.28): SOL rose 7%, VanEck submitted Solana Trust Fund application

SOL rises 7%, VanEck submits Solana Trust fund application

June 28, 2024 Solana cryptocurrency prEs surged nearly 10% after multiple sources provided verified information about VanEck (VanEck Solana Trust) application for Solana-based spot ETF. VanEck is an asset management perusahaan with more than $89 billion in assets under management. This is the first such application filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Solana immediately rose after the news about the spot ETF application, but soon encountered some resistance and profit-taking. Bitcoin reacted to the news by jumping nearly $1,400 from $60,800 to $62,200, but the price is currently below $62,000 agaiN.

There are about 31 days until the next Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (2024.08.01)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

Analisis lingkungan teknis dan sentimen pasar

Komponen Analisis Sentimen

Indikator teknis

Tren harga

BTC price fell -4.88% and ETH price fell -1.78% in the past week.

Gambar di atas adalah grafik harga BTC dalam seminggu terakhir.

Gambar di atas adalah grafik harga ETH dalam seminggu terakhir.

Tabel tersebut menunjukkan tingkat perubahan harga selama seminggu terakhir.

Grafik Distribusi Volume Harga (Support dan Resistance)

In the past week, BTC and ETH fell to 6.24 and formed a dense trading area at a low level before fluctuating widely.

Gambar di atas menunjukkan sebaran area perdagangan BTC yang padat dalam seminggu terakhir.

Gambar di atas menunjukkan sebaran area perdagangan ETH yang padat dalam seminggu terakhir.

Tabel tersebut menunjukkan rentang perdagangan intensif mingguan BTC dan ETH dalam seminggu terakhir.

Volume dan Minat Terbuka

BTC and ETH had the largest trading volume this past week when they fell on June 24; open interest for both BTC and ETH rose slightly.

Gambar bagian atas menunjukkan tren harga BTC, bagian tengah menunjukkan volume perdagangan, bagian bawah menunjukkan open interest, warna biru muda adalah rata-rata 1 hari, dan oranye adalah rata-rata 7 hari. Warna garis K mewakili keadaan saat ini, hijau berarti kenaikan harga didukung oleh volume perdagangan, merah berarti penutupan posisi, kuning berarti akumulasi posisi secara perlahan, dan hitam berarti keadaan ramai.

Gambar di atas menunjukkan tren harga ETH, di tengah adalah volume perdagangan, di bawah adalah open interest, biru muda adalah rata-rata 1 hari, dan oranye adalah rata-rata 7 hari. Warna garis K mewakili keadaan saat ini, hijau berarti kenaikan harga didukung oleh volume perdagangan, merah berarti penutupan posisi, kuning berarti akumulasi posisi secara perlahan, dan hitam berarti ramai.

Volatilitas Historis vs. Volatilitas Tersirat

In the past week, historical volatility of BTC and ETH was highest at 6.24; implied volatility of BTC rose slightly while ETH fell slightly.

The yellow line is the historical volatility, the blue line is the implied volatility, and the red dot is its 7-day average.

Didorong oleh peristiwa

No data was released in the past week.

Indikator Sentimen

Sentimen Momentum

In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/SSE 300, Nasdaq was the strongest, while Bitcoin performed the worst.

Gambar di atas menunjukkan tren berbagai aset dalam seminggu terakhir.

Suku Bunga Pinjaman_Sentimen Pinjaman

Over the past week, the average annualized return on USD lending was 13.3%, and short-term interest rates remained around 12.4%.

Garis kuning adalah harga tertinggi suku bunga USD, garis biru adalah 75% dari harga tertinggi, dan garis merah adalah rata-rata 7 hari dari 75% dari harga tertinggi.

Tabel ini menunjukkan rata-rata pengembalian suku bunga USD untuk hari-hari penyimpanan yang berbeda di masa lalu

Tingkat Pendanaan_Sentimen Leverage Kontrak

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 8.8%, and contract leverage sentiment remained at a low level.

Garis biru adalah tingkat pendanaan BTC di Binance, dan garis merah adalah rata-rata 7 hari

Tabel tersebut menunjukkan rata-rata pengembalian biaya BTC untuk hari penyimpanan yang berbeda di masa lalu.

Korelasi Pasar_Sentimen Konsensus

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week dropped to around 0.45, and the consistency between different varieties dropped significantly.

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

Luas Pasar_Sentimen Keseluruhan

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 5.5% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average, 25% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 4% of the coins were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 6.3% of the coins were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market continued to fall.

The above picture shows [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

Meringkaskan

Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) prices have experienced wide range fluctuations after the decline, while the volatility and trading volume of these two cryptocurrencies reached the highest level during the decline on June 24. The open interest of Bitcoin and Ethereum has increased slightly. In addition, the implied volatility of Bitcoin has increased slightly, while the implied volatility of Ethereum has decreased slightly. The funding rate of Bitcoin has remained at a low level, which may reflect the continued low leverage sentiment of market participants towards Bitcoin. The market breadth indicator shows that most cryptocurrencies continue to fall, indicating that the overall market has maintained a weak trend over the past week.

Twitter: @ https://x.com/CTA_ChannelCmt

Situs web: channelcmt.com

This article is sourced from the internet: Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.06.21-06.28): SOL rose 7%, VanEck submitted Solana Trust Fund application

Related: Analysis of recent Ethereum events: Impact of Hong Kong crypto ETF, prospects of US ETH ETF, will ETH be considered a se

Hong Kong Virtual Asset Spot ETF On April 30, a total of 6 virtual asset spot ETFs under Bosera HashKey, China Asset Management and Harvest Asset Management officially rang the bell and were listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and opened for trading, including Bosera HashKey Bitcoin ETF (3008.HK), Bosera HashKey Ethereum ETF (3009.HK), China Asset Management Bitcoin ETF (3042.HK), China Asset Management Ethereum ETF (3046.HK), Harvest Bitcoin Spot ETF (3439.HK) and Harvest Ethereum Spot ETF (3179.HK). Li Yimei, CEO of China Asset Management, said in an interview with Bloomberg TV that the launch of Hong Kong spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs opens the door for many RMB holders to seek alternative investments. As the opening-up develops, hopefully there will be new opportunities for mainland Chinese investors to participate…