सिग्नलप्लस अस्थिरता कॉलम (20240924): दोलन? सफलता?

The markets expectation of a rate cut maintains the optimism in the digital currency market. BTC ETF continues to receive capital inflows from leading institutions, and the recent approval of the ETF has attracted great attention from the community. Although ETH is a little weak in this regard, the flow from TradFi is still very small, and it even has to continue to face the selling pressure brought by Grayscale ETHE. However, its recent rise in price relative to BTC is still an active topic in recent days. It once touched 2700 yesterday and was immediately reported by the media, but the strong resistance from above could not wait to give up the gains, and after the intraday shock, it finally closed almost flat.

Source: Deribit (as of 24 SEP 16: 00 UTC+ 8)

Source: Deribit (as of 24 SEP 16: 00 UTC + 8)

The implied volatility showed a positive correlation with the rise and fall of the benchmark locally. After a wave of price correction, it quickly steepened downward, causing the front end to fall back to the low percentile range of the past three months. This is consistent with the range-bound shocks in recent days and the declining actual volatility index, which means that Vol Premium still exists, but we need to be careful about the risks at the tail, especially in the upward direction.

स्रोत: सिग्नलप्लस

स्रोत: सिग्नलप्लस

From the perspective of volatility Skew, we can clearly see the impact of transactions in the past 24 hours on the slope of the surface. Specifically, the selling of BTC put options at the end of September confirmed the markets confidence in short-term price stability, and also expressed a bullish view in the form of a bullish spread; but on the other hand, the large demand for 55k Put at the end of October caused the surface to rotate to the bearish side in the middle section, becoming the focus of market discussion. The trading volume on the ETH side is also concentrated in September and the end of October. Among them, the selling of 23k Put at the end of October responded to the demand for BTC, reflecting the markets divergence in cross-currency correlation. However, perhaps it is ETHs recent unexpected performance that has made the bullish demand in September stronger and pushed the Skew of that expiration date to a local high.

Source: SignalPlus, BTC Vol Skew Flow

Source: SignalPlus, ETH Vol Skew Flow

आप t.signalplus.com पर सिग्नलप्लस ट्रेडिंग इंडिकेटर फ़ंक्शन का उपयोग करके अधिक वास्तविक समय की क्रिप्टो जानकारी प्राप्त कर सकते हैं। यदि आप हमारे अपडेट तुरंत प्राप्त करना चाहते हैं, तो कृपया हमारे ट्विटर अकाउंट @SignalPlusCN को फ़ॉलो करें, या हमारे WeChat समूह (सहायक WeChat जोड़ें: SignalPlus 123), टेलीग्राम समूह और डिस्कॉर्ड समुदाय में शामिल हों ताकि अधिक मित्रों के साथ संवाद और बातचीत कर सकें।

सिग्नलप्लस आधिकारिक वेबसाइट: https://www.signalplus.com

This article is sourced from the internet: SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240924): Oscillation? Breakthrough?

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