क्रिप्टो मार्केट सेंटीमेंट रिसर्च रिपोर्ट (2024.08.23-08.30): अगस्त में शॉक करेक्शन, नए ट्रेंड्स का इंतज़ार करें

The market fluctuated and corrected in August, and we are waiting to see the new trend of the market

डेटा स्रोत: coinmarketcap

After the release of non-agricultural data in early August, the mainstream currency market experienced a sharp drop in price. Subsequently, the market has repeatedly experienced a trend of rising and falling, and the implied volatility has gradually declined from the highest level on August 5, and the overall market has shown a wide range of fluctuations. The current market urgently needs the guidance of a new round of economic data to promote the development of the next stage of the market.

The market generally expects the Fed to announce a rate cut at its meeting on September 19. However, the new non-farm payrolls data to be released on September 6 will be key. If the data is strong, it will significantly reduce the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in mid-September. In addition, the PPI and CPI data to be released on September 11 and September 12 will also be closely watched. If these inflation indicators do not show a significant decline, it will also reduce the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates. Therefore, investors need to pay close attention to the upcoming economic data to judge future market trends.

There are about 19 days until the next Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (September 19, 2024)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

बाजार तकनीकी और भावना पर्यावरण विश्लेषण

भावना विश्लेषण घटक

तकनीकी संकेतक

Price Trends

BTC price fell -1.68% and ETH price fell -3.63% over the past week.

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह का BTC का मूल्य चार्ट है।

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह का ETH का मूल्य चार्ट है।

तालिका पिछले सप्ताह के मूल्य परिवर्तन दर को दर्शाती है।

pctChange1Day3Day5Day7Daybtc_pctChange0.55% -5.53% -7.48% -1.68% eth_pctChange-0.03% -5.7% -8.68% -3.63%

मूल्य मात्रा वितरण चार्ट (समर्थन और प्रतिरोध)

In the past week, both BTC and ETH hit a high point and then fell back to a high-volume trading area.

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह में बीटीसी के घने व्यापार क्षेत्रों के वितरण को दर्शाता है।

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह में ETH के सघन व्यापारिक क्षेत्रों के वितरण को दर्शाता है।

तालिका पिछले सप्ताह BTC और ETH की साप्ताहिक गहन ट्रेडिंग रेंज को दर्शाती है।

वॉल्यूम और ओपन इंटरेस्ट

In the past week, the trading volume of BTC and ETH was the largest when they plummeted to 8.27; the open interest of BTC and ETH did not change significantly.

ऊपर की तस्वीर के शीर्ष पर बीटीसी की कीमत प्रवृत्ति दिखाई गई है, बीच में ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम दिखाया गया है, नीचे ओपन इंटरेस्ट दिखाया गया है, हल्का नीला 1-दिवसीय औसत है, और नारंगी 7-दिवसीय औसत है। के-लाइन का रंग वर्तमान स्थिति को दर्शाता है, हरे रंग का मतलब है कि मूल्य वृद्धि ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम द्वारा समर्थित है, लाल का मतलब है समापन स्थिति, पीला का मतलब है धीरे-धीरे जमा होने वाली स्थिति, और काला का मतलब है भीड़भाड़ वाली स्थिति।

ऊपर की तस्वीर में सबसे ऊपर ETH की कीमत का रुझान दिखाया गया है, बीच में ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम है, नीचे ओपन इंटरेस्ट है, हल्का नीला 1-दिन का औसत है, और नारंगी 7-दिन का औसत है। K-लाइन का रंग वर्तमान स्थिति को दर्शाता है, हरा रंग दर्शाता है कि मूल्य वृद्धि ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम द्वारा समर्थित है, लाल रंग समापन स्थिति है, पीला रंग धीरे-धीरे जमा होने वाली स्थिति है, और काला रंग भीड़ है।

ऐतिहासिक अस्थिरता बनाम निहित अस्थिरता

Historical volatility for BTC and ETH was highest this past week at 8.27; implied volatility for BTC fell while ETH rose.

पीली रेखा ऐतिहासिक अस्थिरता को दर्शाती है, नीली रेखा निहित अस्थिरता को दर्शाती है, तथा लाल बिंदु इसका 7-दिवसीय औसत है।

घटना संचालित की गई

No major data was released in the past week, and we are waiting for the release of non-farm data on 09.06.

Emotional indicators

गति भावना

In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/SSE 300, gold was the strongest, while Bitcoin performed the worst.

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह में विभिन्न परिसंपत्तियों की प्रवृत्ति को दर्शाता है।

उधार दर_उधार भावना

The average annualized return on USD lending over the past week was 9.9%, and short-term interest rates rose to 12%.

पीली रेखा USD ब्याज दर का उच्चतम मूल्य है, नीली रेखा उच्चतम मूल्य का 75% है, और लाल रेखा उच्चतम मूल्य का 7-दिवसीय औसत 75% है।

तालिका पिछले कुछ समय में विभिन्न होल्डिंग दिनों पर USD ब्याज दरों के औसत रिटर्न को दर्शाती है

फंडिंग दर_अनुबंध उत्तोलन भावना

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 0.3%, and contract leverage sentiment remained low.

नीली रेखा Binance पर BTC की फंडिंग दर है, और लाल रेखा इसका 7-दिवसीय औसत है

तालिका अतीत में विभिन्न होल्डिंग दिनों के लिए बीटीसी शुल्क का औसत रिटर्न दिखाती है।

बाजार सहसंबंध_आम सहमति भावना

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week was around 0.8, and the consistency between different varieties was high.

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx , imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx , sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

बाजार विस्तार_समग्र भावना

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 41% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average, 48% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 18% of the coins were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 10% of the coins were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market returned to a downward trend.

The picture above is [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot , icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

संक्षेप

In the past week, the prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) fell by -1.68% and -3.63% after a short-term surge. After a short-term surge, the prices of both fell back to a low-level dense trading area. On August 27, the prices of both fell sharply, and the trading volume on that day reached a peak, while the open interest did not change significantly. In terms of volatility, the historical volatility reached its highest point on the decline on August 27, however, the implied volatility performance was differentiated: BTC implied volatility fell, while ETH rose. In the performance comparison of different assets, gold was the strongest among Bitcoin, Nasdaq, Hang Seng Index and CSI 300, while Bitcoin performed the weakest. The average annualized yield of USD lending is 9.9%. The average annualized return of BTC funding rate is 0.3%, indicating that the leverage sentiment of the contract is still low. The correlation between the selected 129 currencies remains around 0.8, showing a high consistency between different varieties. Market breadth indicators show that most cryptocurrencies in the overall market have returned to a downward trend.

ट्विटर: @ https://x.com/CTA_ChannelCmt

वेबसाइट: चैनलसीएमटी.कॉम

This article is sourced from the internet: Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.08.23-08.30): August shock correction, wait-and-see new trends

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