Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.05–07.12): CPI declines, mainstream currency prices rise and fall

CPI data fell, mऐnstream currency prबर्फ़s rose and fell

डेटा स्रोत: https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/cpi-733

Expectations for interest rate cuts have increased significantly this year, with the probability of the first rate cut in September rising to 80%, and the probability of a rate cut in July reappearing. The prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum continued to rise before the release of CPI data, and then fell back after the data was released. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor showed that the year-on-year growth rate of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed from 3.3% in May to 3% in June, the lowest growth rate since June last year; month-on-month, it turned from flat in May to a decline of 0.1% in June, a 0.1 percentage point drop from the previous month, the first negative growth since May 2020, showing signs of continued slowdown in inflation.

There are about 17 days until the next Fed meeting (August 1, 2024)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

बाजार तकनीकी और भावना पर्यावरण विश्लेषण

भावना विश्लेषण घटक

तकनीकी संकेतक

मूल्य प्रवृत्ति

BTC prices rose 0.51% and ETH prices rose 1.3% over the past week.

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह का BTC का मूल्य चार्ट है।

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह का ETH का मूल्य चार्ट है।

तालिका पिछले सप्ताह के मूल्य परिवर्तन दर को दर्शाती है।

मूल्य मात्रा वितरण चार्ट (समर्थन और प्रतिरोध)

In the past week, BTC and ETH fluctuated upward after forming a new dense trading area with large volumes at low levels.

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह में बीटीसी के घने व्यापार क्षेत्रों के वितरण को दर्शाता है।

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह में ETH के सघन व्यापारिक क्षेत्रों के वितरण को दर्शाता है।

तालिका पिछले सप्ताह BTC और ETH की साप्ताहिक गहन ट्रेडिंग रेंज को दर्शाती है।

वॉल्यूम और ओपन इंटरेस्ट

Over the past week, BTC and ETH had the largest trading volume when they fell on July 5; open interest for both BTC and ETH continued to decline.

ऊपर की तस्वीर के शीर्ष पर बीटीसी की कीमत प्रवृत्ति दिखाई गई है, बीच में ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम दिखाया गया है, नीचे ओपन इंटरेस्ट दिखाया गया है, हल्का नीला 1-दिवसीय औसत है, और नारंगी 7-दिवसीय औसत है। के-लाइन का रंग वर्तमान स्थिति को दर्शाता है, हरे रंग का मतलब है कि मूल्य वृद्धि ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम द्वारा समर्थित है, लाल का मतलब है समापन स्थिति, पीला का मतलब है धीरे-धीरे जमा होने वाली स्थिति, और काला का मतलब है भीड़भाड़ वाली स्थिति।

ऊपर की तस्वीर में सबसे ऊपर ETH की कीमत का रुझान दिखाया गया है, बीच में ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम है, नीचे ओपन इंटरेस्ट है, हल्का नीला 1-दिन का औसत है, और नारंगी 7-दिन का औसत है। K-लाइन का रंग वर्तमान स्थिति को दर्शाता है, हरा रंग दर्शाता है कि मूल्य वृद्धि ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम द्वारा समर्थित है, लाल रंग समापन स्थिति है, पीला रंग धीरे-धीरे जमा होने वाली स्थिति है, और काला रंग भीड़ है।

ऐतिहासिक अस्थिरता बनाम निहित अस्थिरता

In the past week, the historical volatility of BTC and ETH was highest when it fell to 7.5; the implied volatility of BTC and ETH fell synchronously.

पीली रेखा ऐतिहासिक अस्थिरता को दर्शाती है, नीली रेखा निहित अस्थिरता को दर्शाती है, तथा लाल बिंदु इसका 7-दिवसीय औसत है।

घटना संचालित की गई

Over the past week, the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum continued to rise before the release of CPI data, and then fell back after the data was released.

भावना सूचक

गति भावना

In the past week, among Bitcoin/gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/CSI 300, gold was the strongest, while Hang Seng Index performed the worst.

उपरोक्त चित्र पिछले सप्ताह में विभिन्न परिसंपत्तियों की प्रवृत्ति को दर्शाता है।

उधार दर_उधार भावना

The average annualized return on USD lending over the past week was 12%, and short-term interest rates fell to 3.8%.

पीली रेखा USD ब्याज दर का उच्चतम मूल्य है, नीली रेखा उच्चतम मूल्य का 75% है, और लाल रेखा उच्चतम मूल्य का 7-दिवसीय औसत 75% है।

तालिका पिछले कुछ समय में विभिन्न होल्डिंग दिनों पर USD ब्याज दरों के औसत रिटर्न को दर्शाती है

फंडिंग दर_अनुबंध उत्तोलन भावना

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 8.8%, and contract leverage sentiment remained at a low level.

नीली रेखा Binance पर BTC की फंडिंग दर है, और लाल रेखा इसका 7-दिवसीय औसत है

तालिका अतीत में विभिन्न होल्डिंग दिनों के लिए बीटीसी शुल्क का औसत रिटर्न दिखाती है।

बाजार सहसंबंध_आम सहमति भावना

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week remained at around 0.73, and the consistency between different varieties fell from a high level.

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

बाजार विस्तार_समग्र भावना

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 9.4% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average, 33.8% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 5.5% of the coins were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 10% of the coins were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market continued to fall.

The above picture shows [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

संक्षेप

In the past week, the prices of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) fluctuated upward after heavy volume at low levels, while the volatility and trading volume of these two cryptocurrencies reached their highest levels when they fell to the low point on July 5. The open interest of Bitcoin and Ethereum is declining. In addition, the implied volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum also fell simultaneously. Bitcoins funding rate remains at a low level, which may reflect the continued low leverage sentiment of market participants towards Bitcoin. The market breadth indicator shows that most cryptocurrencies continue to fall, indicating that the entire market has maintained a weak trend in the past week. CPI data fell, and the prices of mainstream currencies rose and fell when the data was released.

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This article is sourced from the internet: Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.07.05–07.12): CPI declines, mainstream currency prices rise and fall

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