Matrixport Investment Research: optimista sobre el mercado de BTC en el cuarto trimestre

The latest research from Matrixport Research Institute shows that

• BTC Q4 market outlook is good, technical analysis shows that BTC is expected to break through consolidation

• It is not ruled out that the central bank may cut interest rates significantly in the next 12 months

• BTC is about to enter a period of monthly weakness, Trump may boost the crypto market

BTC Q4 market outlook is good, technical analysis shows that BTC is expected to break through consolidation

Currently in the middle of the third quarter, BTC is experiencing one of the most challenging quarters in its history. Coupled with the upcoming weak period, the challenging trading environment may continue for several weeks. However, BTC is expected to perform well in the fourth quarter.

From a technical perspective, BTC鈥檚 trading range is narrowing, indicating that it may soon break out of the consolidation period. Based on the Fed鈥檚 expectations of rate cuts and the fourth quarter鈥檚 positives, coupled with the potential boost from the results of the U.S. presidential election, it is not ruled out that BTC may break out in the coming weeks.

It is not ruled out that the central bank may cut interest rates significantly in the next 12 months

As expected, the Fed did not adjust interest rates. Fed Chairman Powell has said that if inflation develops as expected, it is likely that a rate cut will be decided at the September meeting. Our inflation model also predicts that CPI will gradually fall over the next 12 months. The Feds rate cuts may continue for several quarters, with a 25 basis point reduction at each meeting. This will provide liquidity and stimulus to risk assets such as BTC.

The difference between the current interest rate of 5.25% and the inflation rate of 3.0% reflects the restrictive interest rate policy of the Federal Reserve. This means that the central bank may cut interest rates significantly in the next 12 months.

BTC is about to enter a period of monthly weakness, Trump may boost the crypto market

Historically, returns tend to move sideways in August before weakening in September. This cyclical pattern can be attributed to several factors, including lower trading volumes during the summer holidays and market uncertainty as traders wait to see economic indicators and central bank policy decisions in the fall.

If Trump wins the election, the series of policies and actions he will take will likely boost the crypto asset market. His administration may take a more favorable regulatory stance toward crypto assets, thereby reducing regulatory uncertainty and promoting innovation.

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Aviso legal: El mercado es riesgoso y se debe invertir con cautela. Este artículo no constituye asesoramiento de inversión. El comercio de activos digitales puede ser extremadamente riesgoso e inestable. Las decisiones de inversión deben tomarse después de considerar cuidadosamente las circunstancias personales y consultar a profesionales financieros. Matrixport no es responsable de ninguna decisión de inversión basada en la información proporcionada en este contenido.

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