Crypto Market Sentiment Research Report (2024.06.21-06.28): SOL rose 7%, VanEck submitted Solana Trust Fund application

SOL rises 7%, VanEck submits Solana Trust fund application

June 28, 2024 Solana cryptocurrency prEis surged nearly 10% after multiple sources provided verified information about VanEck (VanEck Solana Trust) application for Solana-based spot ETF. VanEck is an asset management Unternehmen with more than $89 billion in assets under management. This is the first such application filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Solana immediately rose after the news about the spot ETF application, but soon encountered some resistance and profit-taking. Bitcoin reacted to the news by jumping nearly $1,400 from $60,800 to $62,200, but the price is currently below $62,000 agaiN.

There are about 31 days until the next Federal Reserve interest rate meeting (2024.08.01)

https://hk.investing.com/economic-calendar/interest-rate-decision-168

Analyse des technischen Marktes und der Stimmungslage

Komponenten der Stimmungsanalyse

Technische Indikatoren

Preisentwicklung

BTC price fell -4.88% and ETH price fell -1.78% in the past week.

Das obige Bild ist das Preisdiagramm von BTC der letzten Woche.

Das obige Bild ist das Preisdiagramm von ETH der letzten Woche.

Die Tabelle zeigt die Preisänderungsrate der letzten Woche.

Preis-Volumen-Verteilungsdiagramm (Unterstützung und Widerstand)

In the past week, BTC and ETH fell to 6.24 and formed a dense trading area at a low level before fluctuating widely.

Das obige Bild zeigt die Verteilung der BTC-Handelsgebiete mit hoher Dichte in der vergangenen Woche.

Das obige Bild zeigt die Verteilung der ETH-Handelsgebiete mit hoher Dichte in der vergangenen Woche.

Die Tabelle zeigt die wöchentliche intensive Handelsspanne von BTC und ETH in der vergangenen Woche.

Volumen und offenes Interesse

BTC and ETH had the largest trading volume this past week when they fell on June 24; open interest for both BTC and ETH rose slightly.

Oben im obigen Bild ist der Preistrend von BTC dargestellt, in der Mitte das Handelsvolumen, unten das offene Interesse, hellblau ist der 1-Tages-Durchschnitt und orange der 7-Tages-Durchschnitt. Die Farbe der K-Linie stellt den aktuellen Zustand dar, grün bedeutet, dass der Preisanstieg durch das Handelsvolumen unterstützt wird, rot bedeutet, dass Positionen geschlossen werden, gelb bedeutet, dass Positionen langsam akkumuliert werden und schwarz bedeutet, dass der Zustand überfüllt ist.

Oben im obigen Bild ist der Preistrend von ETH dargestellt, in der Mitte das Handelsvolumen, unten das offene Interesse, hellblau der 1-Tages-Durchschnitt und orange der 7-Tages-Durchschnitt. Die Farbe der K-Linie stellt den aktuellen Zustand dar, grün bedeutet, dass der Preisanstieg durch das Handelsvolumen unterstützt wird, rot bedeutet, dass Positionen geschlossen werden, gelb bedeutet, dass Positionen langsam angesammelt werden und schwarz bedeutet, dass Positionen überfüllt sind.

Historische Volatilität vs. implizite Volatilität

In the past week, historical volatility of BTC and ETH was highest at 6.24; implied volatility of BTC rose slightly while ETH fell slightly.

The yellow line is the historical volatility, the blue line is the implied volatility, and the red dot is its 7-day average.

Ereignisgesteuert

No data was released in the past week.

Stimmungsindikatoren

Momentum-Stimmung

In the past week, among Bitcoin/Gold/Nasdaq/Hang Seng Index/SSE 300, Nasdaq was the strongest, while Bitcoin performed the worst.

Das obige Bild zeigt den Trend verschiedener Vermögenswerte in der vergangenen Woche.

Kreditzins_Kreditstimmung

Over the past week, the average annualized return on USD lending was 13.3%, and short-term interest rates remained around 12.4%.

Die gelbe Linie stellt den höchsten Preis des USD-Zinssatzes dar, die blaue Linie entspricht 75% des höchsten Preises und die rote Linie ist der 7-Tage-Durchschnitt von 75% des höchsten Preises.

Die Tabelle zeigt die durchschnittlichen Renditen der USD-Zinssätze für verschiedene Haltetage in der Vergangenheit

Finanzierungsrate_Vertragshebelstimmung

The average annualized return on BTC fees in the past week was 8.8%, and contract leverage sentiment remained at a low level.

Die blaue Linie ist die Finanzierungsrate von BTC auf Binance und die rote Linie ist der 7-Tage-Durchschnitt

Die Tabelle zeigt die durchschnittliche Rendite der BTC-Gebühren für verschiedene Haltetage in der Vergangenheit.

Marktkorrelation_Konsensstimmung

The correlation among the 129 coins selected in the past week dropped to around 0.45, and the consistency between different varieties dropped significantly.

In the above picture, the blue line is the price of Bitcoin, and the green line is [1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, algo, ankr, ant, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, audio, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, bnb, btc, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, eth, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, ocean, one, ont, op, pendle, qnt, qtum, rndr, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, sol, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wld, woo, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx] overall correlation

Marktbreite_Gesamtstimmung

Among the 129 coins selected in the past week, 5.5% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average, 25% of the coins were priced above the 30-day moving average relative to BTC, 4% of the coins were more than 20% away from the lowest price in the past 30 days, and 6.3% of the coins were less than 10% away from the highest price in the past 30 days. The market breadth indicator in the past week showed that most coins in the overall market continued to fall.

The above picture shows [bnb, btc, sol, eth, 1000 floki, 1000 lunc, 1000 pepe, 1000 sats, 1000 shib, 100 0x ec, 1inch, aave, ada, agix, ai, algo, alt, ankr, ape, apt, arb, ar, astr, atom, avax, axs, bal, band, bat, bch, bigtime, blur, cake, celo, cfx, chz, ckb, comp, crv, cvx, cyber, dash, doge, dot, dydx, egld, enj, ens, eos,etc, fet, fil, flow, ftm, fxs, gala, gmt, gmx, grt, hbar, hot, icp, icx, idu, imx, inj, iost, iotx, jasmy, jto, jup, kava, klay, ksm, ldo, link, loom, lpt, lqty, lrc, ltc, luna 2, magic, mana, manta, mask, matic, meme, mina, mkr, near, neo, nfp, ocean, one, ont, op, ordi, pendle, pyth, qnt, qtum, rndr, robin, rose, rune, rvn, sand, sei, sfp, skl, snx, ssv, stg, storj, stx, sui, sushi, sxp, theta, tia, trx, t, uma, uni, vet, waves, wif, wld, woo,xai, xem, xlm, xmr, xrp, xtz, yfi, zec, zen, zil, zrx ] 30-day proportion of each width indicator

Zusammenfassen

Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) prices have experienced wide range fluctuations after the decline, while the volatility and trading volume of these two cryptocurrencies reached the highest level during the decline on June 24. The open interest of Bitcoin and Ethereum has increased slightly. In addition, the implied volatility of Bitcoin has increased slightly, while the implied volatility of Ethereum has decreased slightly. The funding rate of Bitcoin has remained at a low level, which may reflect the continued low leverage sentiment of market participants towards Bitcoin. The market breadth indicator shows that most cryptocurrencies continue to fall, indicating that the overall market has maintained a weak trend over the past week.

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